Work place: Department of Information Tehnology, Eastern Academy of Science and Technology, Bhubaneswar, Odisha-754001, India
E-mail: subhasis22@gmail.com
Website:
Research Interests: Computational Science and Engineering, Computer systems and computational processes, Artificial Intelligence, Swarm Intelligence
Biography
Subhasis Mohapatra is presently working as Asst. Professor in Eastern Academy of Science and Technology, Bhubaneswar, Odisha-754001. He received his Master degree from Biju Pattniak University. His specialization is in Computational Intelligence, Time Series Prediction. He has supervised more than thirty B tech projects. His Computational Intelligence, Time Series Prediction.
By Santosh Kumar Nanda Debi Prasad Tripathy Simanta Kumar Nayak Subhasis Mohapatra
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijisa.2013.12.01, Pub. Date: 8 Nov. 2013
In this paper, ARIMA(1,1,1) model and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models like Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP), Functional-link Artificial Neural Network (FLANN) and Legendre Polynomial Equation ( LPE) were used to predict the time series data. MLP, FLANN and LPE gave very accurate results for complex time series model. All the Artificial Neural Network model results matched closely with the ARIMA(1,1,1) model with minimum Absolute Average Percentage Error(AAPE). Comparing the different ANN models for time series analysis, it was found that FLANN gives better prediction results as compared to ARIMA model with less Absolute Average Percentage Error (AAPE) for the measured rainfall data.
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