Classification and Regression Trees (CART) for Predictive Modeling in Blended Learning

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Author(s)

Nick Z. Zacharis 1,*

1. Department of Computer Systems Engineering, Piraeus University of Applied Sciences, 12244, Greece

* Corresponding author.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijisa.2018.03.01

Received: 3 Oct. 2017 / Revised: 10 Nov. 2017 / Accepted: 27 Nov. 2017 / Published: 8 Mar. 2018

Index Terms

Education Data Mining, Student Data, Blended learning, Decision Trees, CART algorithm, Moodle

Abstract

Today, Internet and Web technologies not only provide students opportunities for flexible interactivity with study materials, peers and instructors, but also generate large amounts of usage data that can be processed and reveal behavioral patterns of study and learning. This study analyzed data extracted from a Moodle-based blended learning course, to build a student model that predicts course performance. CART decision tree algorithm was used to classify students and predict those at risk, based on the impact of four online activities: message exchanging, group wiki content creation, course files opening and online quiz taking. The overall percentage of correct classifications was about 99.1%, proving the model sensitive to identify very specific groups at risk.

Cite This Paper

Nick Z. Zacharis, "Classification and Regression Trees (CART) for Predictive Modeling in Blended Learning", International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications(IJISA), Vol.10, No.3, pp.1-9, 2018. DOI:10.5815/ijisa.2018.03.01

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